TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100367
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118711116119
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
511118711116119
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 45–55 Mariusz Adamus Jakub Kaczmarek has won 45 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-55 in 100
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 10 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1277 vs Adamus 1329
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 20% vs Adamus 50%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.10 / Adamus 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Adamus)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13100367
Kaczmarek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 166 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 178
Adamus1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 229 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it88% 87 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it72% 156 of 216
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek3wins
AwayAdamus7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
AwayAdamus85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Kaczmarek6Adamus4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Kaczmarek2Adamus5n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S5Kaczmarek2Adamus1n = 3Kaczmarek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekAdamusK − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.5−4.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 1295 vs 795 / 163636.5%48.6%472 / 1295 vs 795 / 1636Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusKaczmarek 2.10/Adamus 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek—511711113M. Adamus—11811692
LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—811961M. Adamus—11611113
LSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek—116681M. Adamus—71111113
LAug 28 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek—11111191M. Adamus—13913113
WAug 14 · 11:55J. Kaczmarek—111179113M. Adamus—55111162
WAug 14 · 05:55J. Kaczmarek—1411113M. Adamus—12780
LAug 13 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek—431118102M. Adamus—1111916123
LAug 12 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek—71250M. Adamus—1114113
LAug 4 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek—8111041M. Adamus—11812113
LAug 2 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek—8540M. Adamus—1111113
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113LSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113LSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113
M. Adamus10
LSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113
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