TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106596
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117118411411
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
811117118411411
H2H Pawel Adamus 10–10 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1448 vs Sokolowski 1375
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Sokolowski 0%
Adamus
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 90% vs Sokolowski 40%
Adamus
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +4 · Sokolowski -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Sokolowski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13106596
Adamus2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 96 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Sokolowski1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwaySokolowski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwaySokolowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Sokolowski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Adamus9Sokolowski1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Adamus4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S5Adamus2Sokolowski3n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.337.8+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 651 vs 222 / 52255.5%42.5%361 / 651 vs 222 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiAdamus 2.00/Sokolowski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus—81111442O. Sokolowski—117811113
WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus—111012113O. Sokolowski—4121071
WAug 29 · 07:35P. Adamus—11119113O. Sokolowski—751141
WAug 24 · 02:45P. Adamus—141111113O. Sokolowski—169441
LAug 23 · 18:25P. Adamus—791141O. Sokolowski—11116113
LAug 11 · 15:30P. Adamus—11911982O. Sokolowski—811211113
WAug 11 · 09:30P. Adamus—111011113O. Sokolowski—712451
LAug 5 · 02:35P. Adamus—91111762O. Sokolowski—115811113
WAug 4 · 18:10P. Adamus—116119113O. Sokolowski—51171182
WJul 6 · 13:30P. Adamus—116119113O. Sokolowski—31171172
P. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113LSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
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O. Sokolowski
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