TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106089
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111513711––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111513711––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 6–12 Pawel Adamus Jakub Kaczmarek has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Adamus
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1296 vs Adamus 1437
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 60% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Adamus 90%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek +1 · Adamus +4
Adamus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.65 / Adamus 1.38
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13106089
Kaczmarek2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 168 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back18% 59 of 323
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 180
Adamus1.38
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 198 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 145 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek2wins
AwayAdamus8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
AwayAdamus100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Kaczmarek4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Kaczmarek1Adamus3n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekAdamusK − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.937.9−6.0per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 1298 vs 361 / 65236.5%55.4%474 / 1298 vs 361 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.940.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusKaczmarek 2.65/Adamus 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek—5590P. Adamus—1111113
LJul 20 · 12:40J. Kaczmarek—91040P. Adamus—1112113
WJul 9 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—1111113P. Adamus—7980
LJul 7 · 04:50J. Kaczmarek—81215892P. Adamus—11101311113
LJun 11 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—911881P. Adamus—11711113
LMay 12 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—14880P. Adamus—1611113
WMay 1 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek—12311113P. Adamus—1011971
LApr 22 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—11119792P. Adamus—991111113
LApr 17 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—4980P. Adamus—1111113
LApr 8 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek—6870P. Adamus—1111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113
P. Adamus10
LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113
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