TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106095
Played Sep 10Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114118711711119
Pawel Adamus
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
114118711711119
H2H Marian Lebek 7–9 Pawel Adamus Marian Lebek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1453 vs Adamus 1437
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 100% vs Adamus 80%
Lebek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 70% vs Adamus 90%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +5 · Adamus +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.71 / Adamus 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lebek)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13106095
Lebek1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 242 of 395
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 260
Adamus2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 96 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek71.4%5 of 7
AwayAdamus100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Adamus3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S4Lebek1Adamus4n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S5Lebek2Adamus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekAdamusL − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.734.9+1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime851 / 1465 vs 361 / 65258.1%55.4%851 / 1465 vs 361 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.71/Adamus 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek—111177113P. Adamus—48111192
LSep 9 · 22:00M. Lebek—5680P. Adamus—1111113
LAug 26 · 21:10M. Lebek—6980P. Adamus—1111113
WAug 20 · 03:10M. Lebek—1191111113P. Adamus—81151392
WJul 9 · 03:10M. Lebek—1111113P. Adamus—6330
WJun 11 · 06:45M. Lebek—1111113P. Adamus—9950
WFeb 10 · 18:10M. Lebek—1111113P. Adamus—9380
LAug 3 · 23:10M. Lebek—1111101122P. Adamus—613128113
LAug 3 · 17:10M. Lebek—711111162P. Adamus—116813113
LAug 3 · 05:10M. Lebek—1111671P. Adamus—51311113
M. Lebek10
LSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113LSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123WSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990WSep 10 · 02:00M. Baron2.208950M. Lebek1.571111113WSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113LSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680LSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113
P. Adamus10
LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113WSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113
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