TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106084
Played Sep 10Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.35
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61111910121171012
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
61111910121171012
H2H Marian Lebek 30–7 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 7 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-7 in 37
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 23 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1442 vs Slosarczyk 1292
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 100% vs Slosarczyk 60%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 70% vs Slosarczyk 50%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +5 · Slosarczyk +1
Lebek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.35 / Slosarczyk 2.75
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Lebek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13106084
Lebek1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 242 of 395
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 260
Slosarczyk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 105 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek5wins
AwaySlosarczyk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%4 of 4
AwaySlosarczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek4Slosarczyk6n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Lebek6Slosarczyk4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Lebek6Slosarczyk4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Lebek5Slosarczyk2n = 7Lebek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekSlosarczykL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.233.8+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime850 / 1464 vs 315 / 82158.1%38.4%850 / 1464 vs 315 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.35/Slosarczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek—6111011102P. Slosarczyk—119127123
WSep 10 · 01:10M. Lebek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—3680
LSep 2 · 04:00M. Lebek—9390P. Slosarczyk—1111113
LAug 7 · 24:00M. Lebek—371181P. Slosarczyk—11114113
WJul 30 · 21:35M. Lebek—61111143P. Slosarczyk—1157121
WJul 26 · 11:00M. Lebek—111410113P. Slosarczyk—7121261
LJul 26 · 04:55M. Lebek—911961P. Slosarczyk—11511113
WJun 26 · 06:25M. Lebek—111011113P. Slosarczyk—112641
WDec 12 · 03:45M. Lebek—1211113P. Slosarczyk—10640
LNov 17 · 01:45M. Lebek—911111192P. Slosarczyk—111375113
M. Lebek10
LSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113WSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990WSep 10 · 02:00M. Baron2.208950M. Lebek1.571111113WSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113LSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680LSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940
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