TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106592
Played Sep 10Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811911511––––
H2H Marian Lebek 29–17 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-17 in 46
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1453 vs Burkacki 1274
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 80% vs Burkacki 40%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 60% vs Burkacki 40%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -1 · Burkacki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.35 / Burkacki 2.80
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Lebek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13106592
Lebek1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 242 of 395
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 260
Burkacki2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek85.7%6 of 7
AwayBurkacki100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Burkacki3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Lebek3Burkacki4n = 7Burkacki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekBurkackiL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.833.6+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime851 / 1465 vs 126 / 35258.1%35.8%851 / 1465 vs 126 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.35/Burkacki 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.1%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek—111148113A. Burkacki—57111172
WSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—6690
LSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek—871171A. Burkacki—11118113
WAug 28 · 06:45M. Lebek—11612113A. Burkacki—9111021
LAug 28 · 02:45M. Lebek—1161271A. Burkacki—81114113
WAug 20 · 05:35M. Lebek—11119113A. Burkacki—371161
LAug 19 · 23:35M. Lebek—6950A. Burkacki—1111113
WAug 13 · 04:30M. Lebek—11119123A. Burkacki—7711101
LAug 12 · 21:10M. Lebek—881161A. Burkacki—11117113
WAug 6 · 08:20M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—5890
M. Lebek10
LSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123WSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990WSep 10 · 02:00M. Baron2.208950M. Lebek1.571111113WSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113LSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680LSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113
A. Burkacki10
WSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791WSep 10 · 06:30P. Slosarczyk1.86791171A. Burkacki1.8311117113LSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071LSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143
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