TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098554
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4116111210118113
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 87 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 60.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 11–24 Krzysztof Schaniel Piotr Przewlocki has won 11 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-24 in 35
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 13 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1321 vs Schaniel 1346
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Schaniel 40%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Schaniel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +2 · Schaniel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.20 / Schaniel 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098554
Przewlocki2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 128 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Schaniel1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 367
Up 2–0, closes it90% 104 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it77% 163 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwaySchaniel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5
AwaySchaniel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki5Schaniel4n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSchanielP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.9−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 1078 vs 875 / 174947.4%50%511 / 1078 vs 875 / 1749Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielPrzewlocki 2.20/Schaniel 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki—71111113K. Schaniel—119781
WSep 7 · 03:25P. Przewlocki—12116153K. Schaniel—10911131
WAug 31 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—111011133K. Schaniel—9127111
LAug 31 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—811781K. Schaniel—11411113
LAug 26 · 09:50P. Przewlocki—78110K. Schaniel—1111133
LAug 26 · 05:40P. Przewlocki—12612792K. Schaniel—10111011113
LAug 3 · 11:00P. Przewlocki—912691K. Schaniel—111011113
WAug 3 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—11147113K. Schaniel—8121181
LJul 24 · 21:00P. Przewlocki—61112101K. Schaniel—111310123
WJul 24 · 16:35P. Przewlocki—116611113K. Schaniel—71111552
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83713611113K. Schaniel1.83111111432LSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:55P. Kurek1.445650K. Schaniel2.631111113LSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781WSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153
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