TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091573
Played Sep 8Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15131113711119711
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 108 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 7–7 Piotr Przewlocki Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1394 vs Przewlocki 1326
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Przewlocki 20%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Przewlocki -3
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.20 / Przewlocki 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Przewlocki)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13091573
Urban2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 218 of 548
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 306
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 187
Przewlocki1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 130 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 84 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban62.5%5 of 8
AwayPrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban8Przewlocki2n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Urban1Przewlocki9n = 10Przewlocki took 9 of 10
S3Urban7Przewlocki3n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Urban5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S5Urban2Przewlocki3n = 5Przewlocki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanPrzewlockiU − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.243.9+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime737 / 1567 vs 507 / 106847%47.5%737 / 1567 vs 507 / 1068Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiUrban 2.20/Przewlocki 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban—127148113P. Przewlocki—1011121182
LJul 14 · 21:00W. Urban—1191131P. Przewlocki—13119113
WJul 14 · 16:35W. Urban—118911113P. Przewlocki—91111582
WJun 9 · 02:45W. Urban—15911113P. Przewlocki—1311881
WJun 8 · 23:05W. Urban—11711113P. Przewlocki—911771
LMay 11 · 02:20W. Urban—11611792P. Przewlocki—411611113
LMay 10 · 18:20W. Urban—119111152P. Przewlocki—611139113
WMay 10 · 03:35W. Urban—111114153P. Przewlocki—91312131
LApr 2 · 06:00W. Urban—12811862P. Przewlocki—1011411113
LDec 28 · 06:05W. Urban—611971P. Przewlocki—11511113
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123WSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.831161413113P. Przewlocki1.83911121562WSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 13:10W. Urban1.66W. Buczynski2.05—Sep 9 · 13:55W. Urban1.71S. Juzek1.94—Sep 9 · 15:55W. Urban2.20K. Adamus1.57—Sep 9 · 16:40W. Urban1.36B. Madej2.75—Sep 10 · 03:20W. Urban—R. Idaczyk——Sep 10 · 04:40W. Urban1.57M. Sikon2.25—Sep 10 · 06:10W. Urban2.10L. Oracz1.67—Sep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 08:35W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 09:25W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—
P. Przewlocki
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