TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098600
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 70.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 9–22 Piotr Gumulinski Piotr Przewlocki has won 9 of their 31 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 17h before this match
Gumulinski beat Przewlocki 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-22 in 31
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 13 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1291 vs Gumulinski 1451
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 20% vs Gumulinski 50%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Gumulinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.75 / Gumulinski 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098600
Przewlocki2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 128 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Gumulinski1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 349 of 582
Up 2–0, closes it93% 159 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it75% 238 of 316
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki2wins
AwayGumulinski8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
AwayGumulinski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki2Gumulinski3n = 5Gumulinski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiGumulinskiP − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.0−5.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1076 vs 1030 / 182947.3%56.3%509 / 1076 vs 1030 / 1829Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiPrzewlocki 2.75/Gumulinski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 13:10P. Przewlocki—41030P. Gumulinski—1112113
WJul 30 · 05:40P. Przewlocki—1111113P. Gumulinski—4870
LJun 24 · 07:35P. Przewlocki—8990P. Gumulinski—1111113
LJun 16 · 02:45P. Przewlocki—14113662P. Gumulinski—1271111113
LJun 15 · 23:05P. Przewlocki—11990P. Gumulinski—1311113
LJun 9 · 04:20P. Przewlocki—1011781P. Gumulinski—12811113
LJun 8 · 18:45P. Przewlocki—1011110P. Gumulinski—1213133
LMay 28 · 07:35P. Przewlocki—581291P. Gumulinski—111110113
WMay 28 · 01:35P. Przewlocki—11911173P. Gumulinski—9119151
LMay 11 · 01:30P. Przewlocki—84121192P. Gumulinski—1111107113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141WSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102WSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113LSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.73R. Gajda2.00—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 9 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.50P. Kurek2.50—Sep 9 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 9 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.50P. Kurek2.50—
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