TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092304
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911114411911
Michal Durda
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Michal Durda at 62.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 4–5 Michal Durda Piotr Gumulinski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1473 vs Durda 1663
Durda
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 40% vs Durda 100%
Durda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 70% vs Durda 90%
Durda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -3 · Durda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Durda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 2.25 / Durda 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Durda)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092304
Gumulinski2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog58% won 145 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back45% 62 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 64
Durda1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite78% won 180 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it93% 126 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGumulinski4wins
AwayDurda5wins
6 of 9 to a deciderDurda leads 5–4, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski60%3 of 5
AwayDurda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski5Durda4n = 9Gumulinski took 5 of 9
S2Gumulinski5Durda4n = 9Gumulinski took 5 of 9
S3Gumulinski4Durda5n = 9Durda took 5 of 9
S4Gumulinski2Durda5n = 7Durda took 5 of 7
S5Gumulinski3Durda3n = 6split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricGumulinskiDurdaG − DBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.439.4+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime1024 / 1820 vs 193 / 24556.3%78.8%1024 / 1820 vs 193 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaGumulinski 2.25/Durda 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski—11911492M. Durda—911411113
WJul 29 · 11:50P. Gumulinski—1111118113M. Durda—61341172
LJul 29 · 03:50P. Gumulinski—911251M. Durda—11611113
LJul 28 · 01:10P. Gumulinski—51181182M. Durda—113113113
LJul 27 · 19:30P. Gumulinski—6890M. Durda—1111113
WJul 27 · 01:30P. Gumulinski—1211712123M. Durda—1491110102
LJul 26 · 19:30P. Gumulinski—11119772M. Durda—741111113
WJul 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski—1111113M. Durda—9360
WJul 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski—116114113M. Durda—81191122
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352LSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113
M. Durda10
WSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113WSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.7512810M. Durda1.251411113WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101WSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123
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