TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098497
Played Sep 9Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 5–1 Piotr Gumulinski Piotr Gumulinski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Gajda
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1397 vs Gumulinski 1443
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Gumulinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -2 · Gumulinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 2.00 / Gumulinski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gumulinski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098497
Gajda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 133 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back28% 47 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Gumulinski1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 345 of 574
Up 2–0, closes it93% 158 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it76% 235 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGajda5wins
AwayGumulinski1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderGajda leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda100%3 of 3
AwayGumulinski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda3Gumulinski3n = 6split evenly
S2Gajda3Gumulinski3n = 6split evenly
S3Gajda4Gumulinski2n = 6Gajda took 4 of 6
S4Gajda4Gumulinski1n = 5Gajda took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGajdaGumulinskiGajda − GumulinskiBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 790 vs 1028 / 182651.8%56.3%409 / 790 vs 1028 / 1826Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGajda 2.00/Gumulinski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 12 · 11:30R. Gajda—131152113P. Gumulinski—115111192
WAug 12 · 07:10R. Gajda—51211113P. Gumulinski—1110861
WMar 10 · 14:30R. Gajda—13711113P. Gumulinski—1111961
WMar 10 · 08:30R. Gajda—61111123P. Gumulinski—1193101
LFeb 24 · 14:30R. Gajda—13490P. Gumulinski—1511113
WFeb 24 · 08:30R. Gajda—11911153P. Gumulinski—7119131
R. Gajda10
LSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113LSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113WSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102LSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141WSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102WSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113LSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352LSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Sep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00P. Przewlocki1.73—Sep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.67P. Kurek2.10—Sep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83K. Schaniel1.83—Sep 9 · 09:50R. Gajda1.67P. Kurek2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.83K. Schaniel1.83—Sep 9 · 13:05R. Gajda1.73O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 9 · 13:55R. Gajda1.91P. Przewlocki1.80—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 9 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 9 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.50P. Kurek2.50—Sep 9 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 9 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.50P. Kurek2.50—
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