TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091572
Played Sep 8Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
151381112106111210
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 108 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 63.6%
108 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 31–73 Piotr Gumulinski Wojciech Urban has won 31 of their 104 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-73 in 104
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 42 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1381 vs Gumulinski 1474
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Gumulinski 40%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -2 · Gumulinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.25 / Gumulinski 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13091572
Urban2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 218 of 548
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 306
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 187
Gumulinski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 345 of 574
Up 2–0, closes it93% 158 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it76% 235 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban5wins
AwayGumulinski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban75%3 of 4
AwayGumulinski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S2Urban4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S3Urban4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S4Urban7Gumulinski1n = 8Urban took 7 of 8
S5Urban1Gumulinski2n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanGumulinskiU − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.9−1.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime737 / 1568 vs 1026 / 182247%56.3%737 / 1568 vs 1026 / 1822Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiUrban 2.25/Gumulinski 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 05:35W. Urban—6630P. Gumulinski—1111113
LSep 2 · 01:35W. Urban—101090P. Gumulinski—1212113
LAug 23 · 23:30W. Urban—4711121P. Gumulinski—11117143
WAug 23 · 19:10W. Urban—13711113P. Gumulinski—1111541
WAug 18 · 05:05W. Urban—101111123P. Gumulinski—1279101
WAug 17 · 20:45W. Urban—13119153P. Gumulinski—11111131
LAug 17 · 05:05W. Urban—913111192P. Gumulinski—111579113
LAug 16 · 20:45W. Urban—12471352P. Gumulinski—10111111113
WAug 14 · 03:10W. Urban—12119123P. Gumulinski—10911101
WAug 11 · 01:10W. Urban—911511113P. Gumulinski—11611992
W. Urban10
WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113LSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113WSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352LSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113WSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162LSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113WSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113LSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352LSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
P. Gumulinski
Sep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.25M. Durda1.57—Sep 8 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.73P. Brozek2.00—Sep 9 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 9 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 9 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.