TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091571
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 55.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 2–1 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1442 vs Urban 1412
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Urban 60%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Urban 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.83 / Urban 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13091571
Brozek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Urban1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek2wins
AwayUrban1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderBrozek leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek66.7%2 of 3
AwayUrbann = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek3Urban0n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S2Brozek1Urban2n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S3Brozek1Urban2n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S4Brozek1Urban2n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S5Brozek2Urban1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekUrbanB − UBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match50.347.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 157 vs 738 / 156954.1%47%85 / 157 vs 738 / 1569Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.83/Urban 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 03:50P. Brozek—118611113W. Urban—91111672
LMar 24 · 02:30P. Brozek—118111392W. Urban—311715113
WMar 23 · 20:30P. Brozek—151176133W. Urban—1351111112
P. Brozek10
WSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121WSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961WSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981LSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570WSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113WSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470
W. Urban10
WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102LSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113WSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352LSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113WSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162LSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113
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