TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13095034
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114119118––
Michal Durda
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:44 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Durda at 64.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 0–1 Michal Durda Piotr Brozek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1413 vs Durda 1663
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Durda 100%
Durda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 50% vs Durda 100%
Durda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Durda +5
Durda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 3.50 / Durda 1.28
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13095034
Brozek3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 21 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Durda1.28
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite78% won 180 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it93% 126 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozek0wins
AwayDurda1wins
Durda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozekDurdaB − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.039.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 155 vs 193 / 24553.6%78.8%83 / 155 vs 193 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaBrozek 3.50/Durda 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.9%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek—511791M. Durda—11611113
P. Brozek10
WSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961LSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570WSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113WSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113
M. Durda10
WSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113WSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113WSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101WSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123
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