TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091578
Played Sep 8Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118116611711
Piotr Brozek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Piotr Brozek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 55.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 1–1 Piotr Brozek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urban 1370 vs Brozek 1407
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Brozek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Brozek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +1 · Brozek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.00 / Brozek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091578
Urban2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 218 of 546
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 304
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 187
Brozek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 51 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrban1wins
AwayBrozek1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricUrbanBrozekU − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match49.052.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime734 / 1562 vs 80 / 15047%53.3%734 / 1562 vs 80 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekUrban 2.00/Brozek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 24 · 02:30W. Urban—311715113P. Brozek—118111392
LMar 23 · 20:30W. Urban—1351111112P. Brozek—151176133
W. Urban10
WSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162LSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113LSep 7 · 11:25W. Urban1.6795111182R. Niemiec2.10111165113LSep 7 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek2.101110911113W. Urban1.6761211772WSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950
P. Brozek10
LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
Sep 8 · 05:40W. Urban1.91P. Przewlocki1.80—Sep 8 · 06:30W. Urban2.10R. Idaczyk1.67—Sep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75M. Durda1.40—Sep 8 · 09:50W. Urban1.91P. Przewlocki1.80—Sep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 8 · 11:50W. Urban2.00P. Brozek1.73—Sep 8 · 12:40W. Urban2.10R. Idaczyk1.67—Sep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.55M. Durda1.22—
P. Brozek
Sep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 8 · 06:55P. Brozek1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 8 · 07:45P. Brozek1.67R. Idaczyk2.10—Sep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek2.80M. Durda1.34—Sep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60R. Idaczyk2.11—Sep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.73W. Urban2.00—Sep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.80P. Przewlocki1.91—Sep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—
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