TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096072
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117119116––
Rafal Idaczyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:01 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Rafal Idaczyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 59.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 0–1 Rafal Idaczyk Piotr Brozek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Idaczyk beat Brozek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:01What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1432 vs Idaczyk 1371
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Idaczyk 20%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Idaczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Idaczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.60 / Idaczyk 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13096072
Brozek1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Idaczyk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 104 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozek0wins
AwayIdaczyk1wins
Idaczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozekIdaczykB − IBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 156 vs 472 / 95953.9%49.2%84 / 156 vs 472 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.60/Idaczyk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 07:45P. Brozek—9570R. Idaczyk—1111113
P. Brozek10
WSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981LSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570WSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113WSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570LSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113LSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650WSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111
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