TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092298
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111171161412––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:17 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 81 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 56.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 4–1 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Brozek beat Przewlocki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Brozek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1427 vs Przewlocki 1316
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Przewlocki 20%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Przewlocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.80 / Przewlocki 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13092298
Brozek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Przewlocki1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBrozek4wins
AwayPrzewlocki1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBrozek leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek100%3 of 3
AwayPrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek3Przewlocki2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S2Brozek3Przewlocki2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S3Brozek3Przewlocki2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S4Brozek5Przewlocki0n = 5Brozek took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home480%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBrozekPrzewlockiB − PBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match44.038.2+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 158 vs 508 / 107153.8%47.4%85 / 158 vs 508 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.80/Przewlocki 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 8 · 06:55P. Brozek—111111113P. Przewlocki—661371
WSep 2 · 10:10P. Brozek—12119113P. Przewlocki—1071191
LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek—781311102P. Przewlocki—1111119123
WAug 31 · 11:50P. Brozek—91111113P. Przewlocki—116491
WAug 31 · 03:50P. Brozek—11911113P. Przewlocki—911991
P. Brozek10
LSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961WSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981LSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570WSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113WSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.0091111672P. Brozek1.73118611113LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650LSep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.7512810M. Durda1.251411113WSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113
Upcoming Matches
P. Brozek
P. Przewlocki
Sep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 04:10P. Przewlocki1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.80R. Gajda1.91—
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