TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092337
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151191513––––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 64 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 54.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 7–6 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Idaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1354 vs Przewlocki 1308
Idaczyk
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Przewlocki 20%
Idaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 40% vs Przewlocki 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -1 · Przewlocki -3
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Idaczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 1.73 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Idaczyk)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13092337
Idaczyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it80% 92 of 115
Przewlocki2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk100%4 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Idaczyk3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Idaczyk5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Idaczyk5Przewlocki1n = 6Idaczyk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykPrzewlockiI − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.935.8+0.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 962 vs 508 / 107249.2%47.4%473 / 962 vs 508 / 1072Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IdaczykIdaczyk 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Idaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 04:10R. Idaczyk—5650P. Przewlocki—1111113
WJun 18 · 08:45R. Idaczyk—11119173P. Przewlocki—9611151
LMar 18 · 08:10R. Idaczyk—7960P. Przewlocki—1111113
LDec 16 · 09:00R. Idaczyk—9790P. Przewlocki—1111113
WNov 18 · 09:00R. Idaczyk—11911113P. Przewlocki—511891
WSep 27 · 08:00R. Idaczyk—881111113P. Przewlocki—11118392
LSep 7 · 04:00R. Idaczyk—9311101P. Przewlocki—11116123
WAug 27 · 01:35R. Idaczyk—11116113P. Przewlocki—971131
LAug 16 · 15:05R. Idaczyk—89111182P. Przewlocki—111178113
WAug 16 · 09:05R. Idaczyk—1115123P. Przewlocki—213100
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111LSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961LSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570LSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113LSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113LSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650WSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650LSep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.7512810M. Durda1.251411113WSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113
Upcoming Matches
R. Idaczyk
Nothing scheduled
P. Przewlocki
Sep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 04:10P. Przewlocki1.80R. Gajda1.91—Sep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.73R. Gajda2.00—
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