TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096063
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171181311––
Michal Durda
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:00 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Michal Durda at 55.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 0–1 Michal Durda Rafal Idaczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1360 vs Durda 1649
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 289 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 20% vs Durda 80%
Durda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 50% vs Durda 90%
Durda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -2 · Durda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 5.00 / Durda 1.14
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13096063
Idaczyk5.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 104 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 108
Durda1.14
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite78% won 180 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it93% 126 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIdaczyk0wins
AwayDurda1wins
Durda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricIdaczykDurdaI − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match17.033.0−16.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 960 vs 194 / 24749.2%78.5%472 / 960 vs 194 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaIdaczyk 5.00/Durda 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.2%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk—5480M. Durda—1111113
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113LSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961LSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570LSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113LSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113LSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650WSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113
M. Durda10
WSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113LSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981WSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113WSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113WSep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.7512810M. Durda1.251411113WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101
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