TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098493
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119117118––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 60.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 11–24 Krzysztof Schaniel Piotr Przewlocki has won 11 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-24 in 35
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 13 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1309 vs Schaniel 1333
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Schaniel 40%
Schaniel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 20% vs Schaniel 70%
Schaniel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -4 · Schaniel +1
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.20 / Schaniel 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098493
Przewlocki2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 93
Schaniel1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 220 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it90% 105 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it77% 164 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwaySchaniel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5
AwaySchaniel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki5Schaniel4n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSchanielP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.9−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1074 vs 877 / 174947.4%50.1%509 / 1074 vs 877 / 1749Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielPrzewlocki 2.20/Schaniel 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki—71111113K. Schaniel—119781
WSep 7 · 03:25P. Przewlocki—12116153K. Schaniel—10911131
WAug 31 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—111011133K. Schaniel—9127111
LAug 31 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—811781K. Schaniel—11411113
LAug 26 · 09:50P. Przewlocki—78110K. Schaniel—1111133
LAug 26 · 05:40P. Przewlocki—12612792K. Schaniel—10111011113
LAug 3 · 11:00P. Przewlocki—912691K. Schaniel—111011113
WAug 3 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—11147113K. Schaniel—8121181
LJul 24 · 21:00P. Przewlocki—61112101K. Schaniel—111310123
WJul 24 · 16:35P. Przewlocki—116611113K. Schaniel—71111552
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650
K. Schaniel10
WSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.80R. Gajda1.91—
K. Schaniel
Sep 9 · 04:55K. Schaniel2.63P. Kurek1.44—Sep 9 · 06:05K. Schaniel1.80O. Vincenec1.91—Sep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 08:35K. Schaniel1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25K. Schaniel1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 9 · 11:00K. Schaniel2.63P. Kurek1.44—Sep 9 · 12:15K. Schaniel1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 14:40K. Schaniel1.80O. Vincenec1.91—
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