TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098413
Played Sep 9Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811711116117
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 2–4 Piotr Przewlocki Rafal Gajda has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:01What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1385 vs Przewlocki 1309
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Przewlocki 20%
Gajda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Przewlocki 30%
Gajda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -3 · Przewlocki +1
Gajda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 2.00 / Przewlocki 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098413
Gajda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 133 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back28% 47 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Przewlocki1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 130 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 84 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGajda2wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda40%2 of 5
AwayPrzewlockin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda5Przewlocki1n = 6Gajda took 5 of 6
S2Gajda2Przewlocki4n = 6Przewlocki took 4 of 6
S3Gajda1Przewlocki5n = 6Przewlocki took 5 of 6
S4Gajda2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGajdaPrzewlockiG − PBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.837.80.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 791 vs 509 / 107451.7%47.4%409 / 791 vs 509 / 1074Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiGajda 2.00/Przewlocki 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 4 · 12:40R. Gajda—11148113P. Przewlocki—7121171
LAug 4 · 06:30R. Gajda—1191291P. Przewlocki—71114113
LJun 30 · 15:05R. Gajda—117691P. Przewlocki—61111113
LJun 30 · 09:05R. Gajda—118911112P. Przewlocki—811119133
LJun 25 · 13:55R. Gajda—78110P. Przewlocki—1111133
WJun 25 · 04:10R. Gajda—1111113P. Przewlocki—3990
R. Gajda10
LSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113LSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113WSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102LSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Sep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.73P. Kurek2.00—Sep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83K. Schaniel1.83—Sep 9 · 09:50R. Gajda1.67P. Kurek2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.83K. Schaniel1.83—Sep 9 · 13:05R. Gajda1.73O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 9 · 13:55R. Gajda1.91P. Przewlocki1.80—
P. Przewlocki
Sep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20K. Schaniel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83O. Vincenec1.83—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.10P. Kurek1.67—Sep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.80R. Gajda1.91—
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