Oliver Vincenec vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098486

Played Sep 9Finished

Oliver Vincenec

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

10121142111151210

Piotr Gumulinski

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%

Graded at full time

Piotr Gumulinski to win

57.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Piotr Gumulinski below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 2-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 88 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 57.8%

88 points played in total.

H2H Oliver Vincenec 9–20 Piotr Gumulinski Oliver Vincenec has won 9 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:01

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Gumulinski

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

9-20 in 29

Gumulinski

Wrong

gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vincenec 1371 vs Gumulinski 1456

Gumulinski

Wrong

both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vincenec 40% vs Gumulinski 60%

Gumulinski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vincenec 50% vs Gumulinski 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vincenec -1 · Gumulinski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVincenec 2.10 / Gumulinski 1.67

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Gumulinski)+4.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13098486

Vincenec2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 191 of 484

Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290

Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145

Gumulinski1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 345 of 574

Up 2–0, closes it93% 158 of 170

Up 1–0, closes it76% 235 of 311

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVincenec3wins

AwayGumulinski7wins

3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVincenec40%2 of 5

AwayGumulinski80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vincenec5Gumulinski5n = 10split evenly

S2Vincenec2Gumulinski8n = 10Gumulinski took 8 of 10

S3Vincenec7Gumulinski3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10

S4Vincenec1Gumulinski5n = 6Gumulinski took 5 of 6

S5Vincenec1Gumulinski2n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricVincenecGumulinskiV − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.9−4.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVincenecGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1440 vs 1029 / 182745.1%56.3%650 / 1440 vs 1029 / 1827Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Gumulinski

Vincenec 2.10/Gumulinski 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.8%

Gumulinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vincenec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 6 · 14:40O. Vincenec—12511862P. Gumulinski—1011511113

LSep 6 · 06:05O. Vincenec—671191P. Gumulinski—11118113

WAug 17 · 02:20O. Vincenec—1111113P. Gumulinski—9890

LAug 16 · 18:20O. Vincenec—14411782P. Gumulinski—1211811113

WAug 12 · 15:55O. Vincenec—461111113P. Gumulinski—11119882

WAug 12 · 09:55O. Vincenec—1211133P. Gumulinski—109110

LAug 5 · 07:10O. Vincenec—31080P. Gumulinski—1112113

LJun 19 · 05:35O. Vincenec—981181P. Gumulinski—11118113

LMay 15 · 01:10O. Vincenec—1112991P. Gumulinski—81411113

LApr 9 · 05:35O. Vincenec—58110P. Gumulinski—1111133

O. Vincenec10

LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850 WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561 LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181 WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113 LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123 WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171 LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113 WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113 LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171 WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191

P. Gumulinski10

WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113 LSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091 WSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141 WSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113 LSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102 WSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113 WSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113 LSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113 LSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991 LSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352

Upcoming Matches

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P. Gumulinski

Sep 9 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 9 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 9 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.73R. Gajda2.00—Sep 9 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 9 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67K. Schaniel2.10—Sep 9 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.50P. Kurek2.50—

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