TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097268
Played Sep 8Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711114115116––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
711114115116––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 11–14 Witold Buczynski Oliver Vincenec has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Buczynski beat Vincenec 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Buczynski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1372 vs Buczynski 1347
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 40% vs Buczynski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Buczynski -3
Buczynski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.95 / Buczynski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Buczynski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097268
Vincenec1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Buczynski1.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 41 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it65% 30 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBuczynski62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Buczynski8n = 10Buczynski took 8 of 10
S2Vincenec6Buczynski4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec2Buczynski4n = 6Buczynski took 4 of 6
S5Vincenec3Buczynski0n = 3Vincenec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBuczynskiV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.036.4−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1438 vs 434 / 112245.1%38.7%649 / 1438 vs 434 / 1122Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiVincenec 1.95/Buczynski 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec—8880W. Buczynski—1111113
LAug 10 · 13:30O. Vincenec—411681W. Buczynski—11511113
WAug 10 · 07:20O. Vincenec—1111113W. Buczynski—8660
LMay 26 · 23:10O. Vincenec—3970W. Buczynski—1111113
LMay 9 · 17:05O. Vincenec—4131141W. Buczynski—111113113
WMay 9 · 09:55O. Vincenec—611611113W. Buczynski—11511752
WMay 2 · 11:55O. Vincenec—1111113W. Buczynski—9740
LMay 2 · 05:55O. Vincenec—10101181W. Buczynski—12129113
WApr 19 · 11:30O. Vincenec—6141211113W. Buczynski—111610742
WApr 19 · 07:55O. Vincenec—9111110113W. Buczynski—11661282
O. Vincenec10
LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862
W. Buczynski10
LSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950LSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882LSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472WSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113WSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113LSep 8 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.5711611113W. Buczynski2.20511931LSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141LSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.7111131111113W. Buczynski2.0071551392LSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
Sep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.91K. Schaniel1.80—Sep 9 · 06:55O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—Sep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—Sep 9 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.91K. Schaniel1.80—
W. Buczynski
Nothing scheduled
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