TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098560
Played Sep 9Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11961114121315116
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 108 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Vincenec 15–13 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Przewlocki beat Vincenec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-13 in 28
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1394 vs Przewlocki 1333
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 60% vs Przewlocki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 50% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +1 · Przewlocki +3
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.83 / Przewlocki 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098560
Vincenec1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Przewlocki1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec33.3%1 of 3
AwayPrzewlocki42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S2Vincenec6Przewlocki4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec6Przewlocki4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec4Przewlocki4n = 8split evenly
S5Vincenec3Przewlocki3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecPrzewlockiV − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.338.7+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 1445 vs 512 / 107945.2%47.5%653 / 1445 vs 512 / 1079Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.83/Przewlocki 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec—117116172P. Przewlocki—311811193
WSep 2 · 09:00O. Vincenec—1111113P. Przewlocki—4590
WSep 2 · 04:30O. Vincenec—991111113P. Przewlocki—11114392
LJul 13 · 14:20O. Vincenec—11118892P. Przewlocki—631111113
LJul 13 · 08:10O. Vincenec—91111982P. Przewlocki—116511113
LJun 30 · 13:30O. Vincenec—8115111P. Przewlocki—11811133
WJun 30 · 07:30O. Vincenec—2111111113P. Przewlocki—11135562
WApr 12 · 14:20O. Vincenec—911611113P. Przewlocki—11511852
LApr 12 · 06:20O. Vincenec—61080P. Przewlocki—1112113
WApr 6 · 11:30O. Vincenec—61111113P. Przewlocki—119881
O. Vincenec10
WSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123LSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113
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