TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098537
Played Sep 9Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911119119––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:10 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 57.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Vincenec 9–20 Piotr Gumulinski Oliver Vincenec has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-20 in 29
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1367 vs Gumulinski 1449
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 50% vs Gumulinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Gumulinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.10 / Gumulinski 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098537
Vincenec2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 195 of 492
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 147
Gumulinski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 349 of 582
Up 2–0, closes it93% 159 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it75% 238 of 316
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec3wins
AwayGumulinski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec40%2 of 5
AwayGumulinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Gumulinski5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec2Gumulinski8n = 10Gumulinski took 8 of 10
S3Vincenec7Gumulinski3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S4Vincenec1Gumulinski5n = 6Gumulinski took 5 of 6
S5Vincenec1Gumulinski2n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecGumulinskiV − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.9−4.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 1444 vs 1031 / 183145.2%56.3%652 / 1444 vs 1031 / 1831Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiVincenec 2.10/Gumulinski 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 14:40O. Vincenec—12511862P. Gumulinski—1011511113
LSep 6 · 06:05O. Vincenec—671191P. Gumulinski—11118113
WAug 17 · 02:20O. Vincenec—1111113P. Gumulinski—9890
LAug 16 · 18:20O. Vincenec—14411782P. Gumulinski—1211811113
WAug 12 · 15:55O. Vincenec—461111113P. Gumulinski—11119882
WAug 12 · 09:55O. Vincenec—1211133P. Gumulinski—109110
LAug 5 · 07:10O. Vincenec—31080P. Gumulinski—1112113
LJun 19 · 05:35O. Vincenec—981181P. Gumulinski—11118113
LMay 15 · 01:10O. Vincenec—1112991P. Gumulinski—81411113
LApr 9 · 05:35O. Vincenec—58110P. Gumulinski—1111133
O. Vincenec10
LSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123LSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141WSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102WSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113
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