TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098487
Played Sep 9Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111162111181012
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 89 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Rafal Gajda at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 14–14 Oliver Vincenec Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gajda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1371 vs Vincenec 1380
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 20% vs Vincenec 40%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.73 / Vincenec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gajda)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098487
Gajda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 172 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 121 of 161
Vincenec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 195 of 492
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda4wins
AwayVincenec6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda60%3 of 5
AwayVincenec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S2Gajda8Vincenec2n = 10Gajda took 8 of 10
S3Gajda5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S4Gajda4Vincenec4n = 8split evenly
S5Gajda0Vincenec4n = 4Vincenec took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaVincenecG − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.3+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 794 vs 652 / 144351.6%45.2%410 / 794 vs 652 / 1443Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.73/Vincenec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda—711211102O. Vincenec—116118123
LSep 3 · 09:50R. Gajda—111126122O. Vincenec—691111143
WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda—111311113O. Vincenec—1311551
LSep 1 · 14:40R. Gajda—6138121O. Vincenec—111111143
LSep 1 · 06:05R. Gajda—10811101O. Vincenec—12114123
LAug 27 · 13:55R. Gajda—1110111092O. Vincenec—912412113
WAug 27 · 04:10R. Gajda—1111113O. Vincenec—8550
LAug 19 · 13:30R. Gajda—611101192O. Vincenec—118128113
WAug 19 · 07:30R. Gajda—1111113O. Vincenec—3980
WAug 12 · 17:05R. Gajda—11116133O. Vincenec—9711111
R. Gajda10
LSep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.73531111112P. Kurek2.00111179133WSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672LSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113LSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113WSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102LSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133
O. Vincenec10
LSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113
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