TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098529
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111178111161917
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 19-17
Point 104 set 5, 19-17 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 10–13 Oliver Vincenec Piotr Przewlocki has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Vincenec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1321 vs Vincenec 1367
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Vincenec 60%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 30% vs Vincenec 50%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.83 / Vincenec 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vincenec)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098529
Przewlocki1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Vincenec1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki4wins
AwayVincenec6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki42.9%3 of 7
AwayVincenec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki7Vincenec3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Przewlocki7Vincenec3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki3Vincenec6n = 9Vincenec took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki1Vincenec4n = 5Vincenec took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiVincenecP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.041.2−0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 1078 vs 652 / 144447.4%45.2%511 / 1078 vs 652 / 1444Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecPrzewlocki 1.83/Vincenec 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 30 · 13:30P. Przewlocki—11811133O. Vincenec—8115111
LJun 30 · 07:30P. Przewlocki—11135562O. Vincenec—2111111113
LApr 12 · 14:20P. Przewlocki—11511852O. Vincenec—911611113
WApr 12 · 06:20P. Przewlocki—1112113O. Vincenec—61080
LApr 6 · 11:30P. Przewlocki—119881O. Vincenec—61111113
LApr 6 · 07:10P. Przewlocki—91181182O. Vincenec—117118113
WMar 28 · 23:55P. Przewlocki—11411113O. Vincenec—811951
LMar 28 · 20:50P. Przewlocki—11711492O. Vincenec—911511113
WMar 28 · 02:30P. Przewlocki—911119113O. Vincenec—11991182
LMar 27 · 20:30P. Przewlocki—8141171O. Vincenec—11166113
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.7571751182P. Gumulinski1.401115118113LSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113WSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113
O. Vincenec10
WSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123LSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113
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