TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100519
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119511118––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
119119511118––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 1–0 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rus 1134 vs Urban 1446
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 312 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 40% vs Urban 100%
Urban
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 30% vs Urban 80%
Urban
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus +2 · Urban +5
Urban
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.90 / Urban 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Urban)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13100519
Rus2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Urban1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 180 of 310
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRus1wins
AwayUrban0wins
Rus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRusUrbanR − UBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.037.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 388 vs 742 / 157432%47.1%124 / 388 vs 742 / 1574Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanRus 2.90/Urban 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.4%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus—11115113W. Urban—991181
M. Rus10
WSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123WSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102LSep 8 · 09:50W. Urban2.20151171172P. Przewlocki1.611313119113LSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113WSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:55W. Urban2.2511131111113P. Gumulinski1.5751561352
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
W. Urban1 of 9 neutral
Sep 9 · 07:55W. Urban1.74S. Juzek1.95—Sep 9 · 09:55W. Urban1.66W. Buczynski2.05—Sep 9 · 10:40W. Urban1.36B. Madej2.75—Sep 9 · 11:30W. Urban1.33M. Rus2.90—Sep 9 · 13:10W. Urban1.64W. Buczynski2.04—Sep 9 · 13:55W. Urban1.71S. Juzek1.94—Sep 9 · 15:55W. Urban2.26K. Adamus1.52—Sep 9 · 16:40W. Urban1.36B. Madej2.75—Sep 10 · 03:20W. Urban—R. Idaczyk——
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