TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098525
Played Sep 9Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:11 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Pawel Kurek at 65.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 7–1 Krzysztof Schaniel Krzysztof Schaniel has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1425 vs Schaniel 1333
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Schaniel 40%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Schaniel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +1 · Schaniel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kurek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.44 / Schaniel 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kurek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13098525
Kurek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 206 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it84% 146 of 173
Schaniel2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 186 of 457
Down 0–1, comes back27% 67 of 249
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKurek7wins
AwaySchaniel1wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKurek leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek100%3 of 3
AwaySchaniel20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek3Schaniel5n = 8Schaniel took 5 of 8
S2Kurek4Schaniel4n = 8split evenly
S3Kurek7Schaniel1n = 8Kurek took 7 of 8
S4Kurek5Schaniel1n = 6Kurek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKurekSchanielK − SBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.832.5+8.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 768 vs 876 / 174850.3%50.1%386 / 768 vs 876 / 1748Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.44/Schaniel 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 20 · 12:40P. Kurek—111011113K. Schaniel—912551
WAug 20 · 06:30P. Kurek—1111123K. Schaniel—43100
WJul 4 · 13:30P. Kurek—511119113K. Schaniel—11661182
WJul 1 · 07:20P. Kurek—81113113K. Schaniel—1191161
WApr 30 · 05:10P. Kurek—81111113K. Schaniel—115431
WApr 30 · 24:00P. Kurek—1191111113K. Schaniel—13116692
WNov 28 · 07:25P. Kurek—11611133K. Schaniel—5114111
LNov 4 · 20:35P. Kurek—10770K. Schaniel—1211113
P. Kurek10
WSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850LSep 8 · 04:40G. Marud1.851111113P. Kurek1.856550WSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak2.2775130P. Kurek1.521111153LSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 7 · 23:30O. Jadach1.581711512113P. Kurek2.20199111072WSep 7 · 22:40G. Marud1.85116912162P. Kurek1.856111110183LSep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.7011118113P. Kurek2.05651171WSep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak2.201010130P. Kurek1.571212153WSep 7 · 19:10O. Jadach1.559101491P. Kurek2.25111212113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781WSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
K. Schaniel
Sep 9 · 06:05K. Schaniel1.80O. Vincenec1.91—Sep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 08:35K. Schaniel1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 9 · 09:25K. Schaniel1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 9 · 11:00K. Schaniel2.63P. Kurek1.44—Sep 9 · 12:15K. Schaniel1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 14:40K. Schaniel1.80O. Vincenec1.91—
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