TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119988
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
5.35
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111214114118711
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
8111214114118711
H2H Roman Wiza 2–1 Pawel Gasiorski Pawel Gasiorski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (83%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1309 vs Gasiorski 1609
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 300 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 100% vs Gasiorski 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 80% vs Gasiorski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +5 · Gasiorski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (19%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 5.35 / Gasiorski 1.10
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119988
Wiza5.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 86 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Gasiorski1.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite80% won 107 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWiza2wins
AwayGasiorski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWiza leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza1Gasiorski2n = 3Gasiorski took 2 of 3
S2Wiza1Gasiorski2n = 3Gasiorski took 2 of 3
S3Wiza2Gasiorski1n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWizaGasiorskiW − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.732.3+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 944 vs 205 / 25742.8%79.8%404 / 944 vs 205 / 257Avg sets wonper match1.82.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.341.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiWiza 5.35/Gasiorski 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.7%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza331111113P. Gasiorski188640
LApr 25 · 21:30R. Wiza208750P. Gasiorski331111113
WJun 11 · 12:20R. Wiza518101111113P. Gasiorski4611126982
R. Wiza10
WSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561WSep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3614712772R. Wiza2.7512111011113WSep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.92911661R. Wiza1.8011811113WSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132LSep 12 · 01:10R. Wiza1.3511115642A. Szurgot2.75731111113WSep 12 · 24:20J. Michalski2.376810R. Wiza1.481111113LSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113WSep 11 · 21:30R. Wiza2.2911115113J. Badura1.51361171
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 12 · 22:20R. Szymik3.251149101P. Gasiorski1.2791111123WSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.091111113G. Sawicki5.455620WSep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot8.00613941P. Gasiorski1.03111111113WSep 10 · 20:00M. Koczyba2.9589111172P. Gasiorski1.31111166113WSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113WSep 10 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.36129511113P. Zemla2.75101111772WSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113
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