TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108543
Played Sep 10Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811911116116711
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
811911116116711
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 8–23 Pawel Gasiorski Mariusz Koczyba has won 8 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (69%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-23 in 31
Gasiorski
Correct
gap of 15 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1339 vs Gasiorski 1591
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 251 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 60% vs Gasiorski 80%
Gasiorski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 60% vs Gasiorski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba -1 · Gasiorski +3
Gasiorski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 2.95 / Gasiorski 1.31
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Gasiorski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108543
Koczyba2.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Gasiorski1.31
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 103 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it83% 67 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoczyba2wins
AwayGasiorski8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGasiorski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyban = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGasiorski80%8 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba0Gasiorski10n = 10Gasiorski took 10 of 10
S2Koczyba2Gasiorski8n = 10Gasiorski took 8 of 10
S3Koczyba7Gasiorski3n = 10Koczyba took 7 of 10
S4Koczyba5Gasiorski2n = 7Koczyba took 5 of 7
S5Koczyba0Gasiorski3n = 3Gasiorski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoczybaGasiorskiK − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match32.940.3−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime859 / 1316 vs 201 / 25365.3%79.5%859 / 1316 vs 201 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.32.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.341.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiKoczyba 2.95/Gasiorski 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.6%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 20:00M. Koczyba—55111162P. Gasiorski—111188113
WJul 29 · 20:00M. Koczyba—81111113P. Gasiorski—119971
LJun 2 · 20:00M. Koczyba—46121192P. Gasiorski—1111105113
LMay 28 · 20:00M. Koczyba—341191P. Gasiorski—11118113
LMay 27 · 20:00M. Koczyba—11960P. Gasiorski—1311113
LMay 26 · 20:00M. Koczyba—8670P. Gasiorski—1111113
LMay 20 · 20:00M. Koczyba—11280P. Gasiorski—1114113
LMay 12 · 20:00M. Koczyba—47111172P. Gasiorski—111197113
WApr 29 · 20:00M. Koczyba—71111133P. Gasiorski—1187111
LApr 22 · 20:00M. Koczyba—851171P. Gasiorski—11116113
M. Koczyba10
LSep 10 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.9181070K. Durak1.741112113WSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661WSep 10 · 16:25P. Brozek1.90116491M. Koczyba1.8081111113WSep 10 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.861111133P. Zemla1.7863110LSep 9 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.70851191S. Krupa2.0011117113WSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271WSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113WSep 10 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.36129511113P. Zemla2.75101111772WSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113
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