TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108079
Played Sep 10Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611411911––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118611411911––
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–0 Mariusz Koczyba Mariusz Koczyba has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:06What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1470 vs Koczyba 1315
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Koczyba 60%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Koczyba 40%
Brozek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +3 · Koczyba +1
Brozek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.90 / Koczyba 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108079
Brozek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog51% won 24 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Koczyba1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 336 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 177 of 188
Up 1–0, closes it82% 239 of 293
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayKoczyba0wins
Brozek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozekKoczybaB − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.037.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 161 vs 860 / 131654.7%65.4%88 / 161 vs 860 / 1316Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.90/Koczyba 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 11 · 19:40P. Brozek—11125113M. Koczyba—8101181
P. Brozek10
WSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961WSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981LSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570WSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113WSep 8 · 06:05P. Brozek2.0021111113P. Gumulinski1.73113991LSep 8 · 04:30P. Brozek2.75511791M. Durda1.4011611113
M. Koczyba10
WSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661WSep 10 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.861111133P. Zemla1.7863110LSep 9 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.70851191S. Krupa2.0011117113WSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271WSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113LSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113
Upcoming Matches
P. Brozek
M. Koczyba
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.