TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106279
Played Sep 10Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161131311––––
Piotr Zemla
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1161131311––––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 6–1 Piotr Zemla Piotr Zemla has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (51%)
Zemla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1296 vs Zemla 1431
Zemla
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 60% vs Zemla 80%
Zemla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 30% vs Zemla 60%
Zemla
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba -1 · Zemla +4
Zemla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zemla) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zemla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.86 / Zemla 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zemla)+2.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13106279
Koczyba1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Zemla1.78
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKoczyba6wins
AwayZemla1wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKoczyba leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba100%3 of 3
AwayZemla25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba3Zemla4n = 7Zemla took 4 of 7
S2Koczyba4Zemla3n = 7Koczyba took 4 of 7
S3Koczyba4Zemla3n = 7Koczyba took 4 of 7
S4Koczyba3Zemla1n = 4Koczyba took 3 of 4
S5Koczyba4Zemla0n = 4Koczyba took 4 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home457%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKoczybaZemlaK − ZBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.736.9+5.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaZemlaBasisWin rate · lifetime860 / 1316 vs 42 / 7165.4%59.2%860 / 1316 vs 42 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaKoczyba 1.86/Zemla 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 10 · 15:35M. Koczyba—1111133P. Zemla—63110
WAug 26 · 16:25M. Koczyba—11111011113P. Zemla—13412642
LAug 19 · 18:45M. Koczyba—4690P. Zemla—1111113
WAug 12 · 15:35M. Koczyba—119913113P. Zemla—511111182
WAug 9 · 06:45M. Koczyba—711119123P. Zemla—119711102
WJul 26 · 06:45M. Koczyba—1281111123P. Zemla—141187102
WJul 22 · 16:50M. Koczyba—1211113P. Zemla—10480
M. Koczyba10
WSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661WSep 10 · 16:25P. Brozek1.90116491M. Koczyba1.8081111113LSep 9 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.70851191S. Krupa2.0011117113WSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271WSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113LSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113
P. Zemla10
WSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950WSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach4.007180P. Zemla1.211111113WSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450LSep 5 · 04:00P. Zemla1.4711412892J. Jesiek2.453111011113LSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 18:45P. Zemla1.441111811113W. Pytlas2.6098111382LSep 1 · 17:35P. Zemla1.63115761M. Tkocz2.0981111113LSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.