TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081179
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711111811––––
Piotr Zemla
Away
1.21
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:41 and never touched — 79.6% is still 79.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Zemla to win
79.6%
79.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
711111811––––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–3 Piotr Zemla Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:41What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (77%)
Zemla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zemla
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1237 vs Zemla 1453
Zemla
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 20% vs Zemla 60%
Zemla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Zemla 60%
Zemla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -3 · Zemla +2
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Zemla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zemla form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 4.00 / Zemla 1.21
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Zemla)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081179
Adach4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 89 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back17% 25 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Zemla1.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdach0wins
AwayZemla3wins
Zemla leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdachn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZemla100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
S2Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
S3Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdachZemlaA − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match19.033.7−14.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachZemlaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 576 vs 42 / 7041.3%60%238 / 576 vs 42 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaAdach 4.00/Zemla 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.6%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zemla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach—7180P. Zemla—1111113
LSep 1 · 15:35R. Adach—6350P. Zemla—1111113
LJul 26 · 06:00R. Adach—11970P. Zemla—1311113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
P. Zemla10
WSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950WSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450LSep 5 · 04:00P. Zemla1.4711412892J. Jesiek2.453111011113LSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 18:45P. Zemla1.441111811113W. Pytlas2.6098111382LSep 1 · 17:35P. Zemla1.63115761M. Tkocz2.0981111113LSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:35P. Zemla1.261111113R. Adach3.406350WAug 30 · 08:00P. Zemla1.491111113W. Pytlas2.457550
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