TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051971
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Zemla
Home
1.26
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113115––––
Rafal Adach
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:44 and never touched — 74.5% is still 74.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Zemla to win
74.5%
74.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
116113115––––
H2H Piotr Zemla 1–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Zemla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zemla 1432 vs Adach 1198
Zemla
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zemla 60% vs Adach 0%
Zemla
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zemla 50% vs Adach 10%
Zemla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zemla +2 · Adach -5
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Zemla) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZemla 1.26 / Adach 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Zemla)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13051971
Zemla1.26
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 35 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Adach3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 84 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZemla1wins
AwayAdach0wins
Zemla leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZemlaAdachZ − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemlaAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 60 vs 227 / 54660%41.6%36 / 60 vs 227 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.134.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaZemla 1.26/Adach 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zemla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 26 · 06:00P. Zemla—1311113R. Adach—11970
P. Zemla10
WSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950WSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach4.007180P. Zemla1.211111113WSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450LSep 5 · 04:00P. Zemla1.4711412892J. Jesiek2.453111011113LSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 18:45P. Zemla1.441111811113W. Pytlas2.6098111382LSep 1 · 17:35P. Zemla1.63115761M. Tkocz2.0981111113LSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WAug 30 · 08:00P. Zemla1.491111113W. Pytlas2.457550
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach4.007180P. Zemla1.211111113
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