TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077335
Played Sep 5Finished
Piotr Zemla
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1134111210811911
Jakub Jesiek
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Zemla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1134111210811911
H2H Piotr Zemla 1–0 Jakub Jesiek Jakub Jesiek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:38What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Zemla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zemla 1419 vs Jesiek 1346
Zemla
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zemla 40% vs Jesiek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zemla 50% vs Jesiek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zemla -1 · Jesiek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zemla) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zemla form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZemla 1.47 / Jesiek 2.45
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zemla)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077335
Zemla1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 37 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Jesiek2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 69 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZemla1wins
AwayJesiek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZemla leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZemlaJesiekZ − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match54.041.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemlaJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 65 vs 265 / 50358.5%52.7%38 / 65 vs 265 / 503Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaZemla 1.47/Jesiek 2.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 26 · 08:20P. Zemla—1311118113J. Jesiek—15491122
P. Zemla10
WSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950WSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach4.007180P. Zemla1.211111113WSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 05:10P. Zemla1.521111113W. Pytlas2.329450LSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 18:45P. Zemla1.441111811113W. Pytlas2.6098111382LSep 1 · 17:35P. Zemla1.63115761M. Tkocz2.0981111113LSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:35P. Zemla1.261111113R. Adach3.406350WAug 30 · 08:00P. Zemla1.491111113W. Pytlas2.457550
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
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