TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108305
Played Sep 10Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012711––––
Kamil Durak
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Durak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012711––––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 1–3 Kamil Durak Mariusz Koczyba has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (52%)
Durak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Durak
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1347 vs Durak 1524
Durak
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 80% vs Durak 60%
Koczyba
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 60% vs Durak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba +3 · Durak +1
Koczyba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Durak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.91 / Durak 1.74
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Durak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13108305
Koczyba1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Durak1.74
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKoczyba1wins
AwayDurak3wins
Durak leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyban = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDurak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba1Durak3n = 4Durak took 3 of 4
S2Koczyba1Durak3n = 4Durak took 3 of 4
S3Koczyba2Durak2n = 4split evenly
S4Koczyba1Durak2n = 3Durak took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKoczybaDurakK − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.237.5−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaDurakBasisWin rate · lifetime861 / 1317 vs 44 / 6365.4%69.8%861 / 1317 vs 44 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurakKoczyba 1.91/Durak 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Durak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Durak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 19:40M. Koczyba—171080K. Durak—1912113
WAug 18 · 19:40M. Koczyba—111011113K. Durak—912481
LAug 1 · 24:35M. Koczyba—891161K. Durak—11114113
LJul 31 · 18:30M. Koczyba—911981K. Durak—11511113
M. Koczyba10
WSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661WSep 10 · 16:25P. Brozek1.90116491M. Koczyba1.8081111113WSep 10 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.861111133P. Zemla1.7863110LSep 9 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.70851191S. Krupa2.0011117113WSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271WSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113
K. Durak10
WSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152LAug 26 · 02:10K. Durak1.738970J. Pruszkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113WAug 25 · 23:45P. Slosarczyk4.0081480K. Durak1.221116113WAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak2.20116913123P. Brozek1.612111111102LAug 25 · 21:45K. Durak1.334950O. Sokolowski3.251111113WAug 25 · 19:40K. Durak1.571912113M. Koczyba2.25171080WAug 25 · 18:30K. Durak1.301115113P. Slosarczyk3.4041370
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