TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108076
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Gasiorski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113117711114––
Marek Tkocz
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:05 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
113117711114––
H2H Pawel Gasiorski 6–3 Marek Tkocz Marek Tkocz has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Gasiorski
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gasiorski 1567 vs Tkocz 1401
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasiorski 60% vs Tkocz 40%
Gasiorski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasiorski 60% vs Tkocz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasiorski -1 · Tkocz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gasiorski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasiorski form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasiorski 1.36 / Tkocz 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gasiorski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108076
Gasiorski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 103 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it83% 67 of 81
Tkocz2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGasiorski6wins
AwayTkocz3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderGasiorski leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGasiorski80%4 of 5
AwayTkocz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gasiorski5Tkocz4n = 9Gasiorski took 5 of 9
S2Gasiorski8Tkocz1n = 9Gasiorski took 8 of 9
S3Gasiorski7Tkocz2n = 9Gasiorski took 7 of 9
S4Gasiorski3Tkocz2n = 5Gasiorski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGasiorskiTkoczG − TBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.233.8+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasiorskiTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 250 vs 763 / 114479.2%66.7%198 / 250 vs 763 / 1144Avg sets wonper match2.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match41.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiGasiorski 1.36/Tkocz 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski—511711132M. Tkocz—117111153
WAug 27 · 20:00P. Gasiorski—1211113M. Tkocz—10360
WAug 20 · 18:25P. Gasiorski—1214113M. Tkocz—101280
WAug 13 · 16:00P. Gasiorski—1111113M. Tkocz—9570
LAug 6 · 20:00P. Gasiorski—8111171M. Tkocz—11813113
WJun 2 · 18:25P. Gasiorski—61111113M. Tkocz—118391
LSep 23 · 20:00P. Gasiorski—1110111092M. Tkocz—812912113
WSep 11 · 18:25P. Gasiorski—71111113M. Tkocz—119961
WJul 27 · 19:10P. Gasiorski—1113113M. Tkocz—81190
P. Gasiorski10
LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113WSep 1 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.111215143R. Adach5.301013120LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153
M. Tkocz10
LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661LSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113WSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931LSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692LSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153
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