TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115895
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112105111311113
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
91112105111311113
H2H Roman Wiza 4–5 Jan Orszulik Roman Wiza has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Orszulik beat Wiza 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Orszulik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1225 vs Orszulik 1371
Orszulik
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 60% vs Orszulik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Orszulik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -1 · Orszulik +3
Orszulik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.20 / Orszulik 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Orszulik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13115895
Wiza2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Orszulik1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWiza4wins
AwayOrszulik5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderOrszulik leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza50%2 of 4
AwayOrszulik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza4Orszulik5n = 9Orszulik took 5 of 9
S2Wiza3Orszulik6n = 9Orszulik took 6 of 9
S3Wiza4Orszulik5n = 9Orszulik took 5 of 9
S4Wiza3Orszulik4n = 7Orszulik took 4 of 7
S5Wiza2Orszulik1n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricWizaOrszulikW − OBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.039.6−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 941 vs 109 / 23742.3%46%398 / 941 vs 109 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikWiza 2.20/Orszulik 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wiza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza173860J. Orszulik331111113
LAug 8 · 24:20R. Wiza143560J. Orszulik331111113
LAug 7 · 20:20R. Wiza381261191J. Orszulik3714111113
LJul 11 · 01:10R. Wiza46121161162J. Orszulik521013117113
WJul 10 · 17:30R. Wiza4211119113J. Orszulik36971191
WApr 18 · 01:10R. Wiza3961111113J. Orszulik33117871
WApr 17 · 17:30R. Wiza541191211113J. Orszulik51811101392
WMar 13 · 09:45R. Wiza53913119113J. Orszulik42111131162
LMar 13 · 02:35R. Wiza21115321J. Orszulik3961111113
R. Wiza10
WSep 13 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3711651172R. Wiza2.70911116113WSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123LSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113WSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262WSep 13 · 24:20A. Szurgot3.005890R. Wiza1.301111113LSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113LSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561
J. Orszulik10
WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113WSep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.2481111113A. Szurgot3.40115151WSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113WSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113WSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112LSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121
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