TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114367
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslaw Badura
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Badura to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210116––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Orszulik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Badura 1359 vs Orszulik 1353
Badura
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badura 40% vs Orszulik 20%
Badura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badura 50% vs Orszulik 30%
Badura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badura +1 · Orszulik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadura 1.88 / Orszulik 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Orszulik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13114367
Badura1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Orszulik1.82
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaduraOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 566 vs 106 / 23353.7%45.5%304 / 566 vs 106 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OrszulikBadura 1.88/Orszulik 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Badura won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Badura10
WSep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.221112133A. Szurgot3.60610110LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 20:00J. Orszulik3.854760P. Gasiorski1.211111113WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.83134991K. Juszczyk1.83111111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Badura
J. Orszulik
Sep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—Sep 11 · 23:05J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 11 · 23:55J. Orszulik2.25R. Szymik1.52—Sep 12 · 01:30J. Orszulik1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 02:45J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—Sep 12 · 05:05J. Orszulik1.85J. Badura1.78—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.