TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12425905
Played Aug 13Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611116114––
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
117611116114––
H2H Marian Lebek 9–7 Jan Orszulik Jan Orszulik has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Lebek
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1394 vs Orszulik 1408
Orszulik
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 20% vs Orszulik 60%
Orszulik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 40% vs Orszulik 70%
Orszulik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -4 · Orszulik +1
Lebek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Orszulik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.83 / Orszulik 1.86
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Orszulik)+6.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12425905
Lebek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 244 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it97% 150 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it82% 202 of 246
Orszulik1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 31 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek7wins
AwayOrszulik3wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek85.7%6 of 7
AwayOrszulik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Orszulik3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek7Orszulik3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S3Lebek6Orszulik4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Lebek2Orszulik1n = 3Lebek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekOrszulikL − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.129.7+4.4per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime828 / 1436 vs 105 / 22757.7%46.3%828 / 1436 vs 105 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikLebek 1.83/Orszulik 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 04:50M. Lebek—121112113J. Orszulik—1051471
LJul 16 · 22:50M. Lebek—47120J. Orszulik—1111143
WJul 3 · 03:35M. Lebek—1114113J. Orszulik—71290
LJul 2 · 21:35M. Lebek—1111791J. Orszulik—41311113
WJun 9 · 22:25M. Lebek—1111123J. Orszulik—95100
WMar 27 · 02:35M. Lebek—1111113J. Orszulik—4790
LMar 13 · 03:20M. Lebek—79100J. Orszulik—1111123
WMar 4 · 05:00M. Lebek—51111113J. Orszulik—118891
WMar 4 · 01:00M. Lebek—1111113J. Orszulik—9770
WFeb 18 · 03:45M. Lebek—1112113J. Orszulik—51060
M. Lebek10
WSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 07:10Y. Fomin2.20471161M. Lebek1.5711115113LSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 04:50M. Lebek1.16911771R. Komandzik4.3511311113WSep 11 · 04:00M. Adamus2.35781181M. Lebek1.5011118113WSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110LSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113LSep 11 · 24:00M. Lebek1.90116371K. Durak1.8071111113LSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 20:00J. Orszulik3.854760P. Gasiorski1.211111113WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.83134991K. Juszczyk1.83111111113WAug 13 · 16:25J. Pelka1.8069120J. Orszulik1.911111143WAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231
Upcoming Matches
M. Lebek
Nothing scheduled
J. Orszulik
Sep 11 · 19:30J. Orszulik1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 11 · 20:45J. Orszulik1.86J. Badura1.80—Sep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—Sep 11 · 23:05J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 11 · 23:55J. Orszulik2.25R. Szymik1.52—Sep 12 · 01:30J. Orszulik1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 02:45J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.