TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12425127
Played Aug 13Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
3.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711611––––
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.21
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
411711611––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:44What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (76%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1405 vs Gasiorski 1600
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 60% vs Gasiorski 40%
Orszulik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 70% vs Gasiorski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik +1 · Gasiorski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasiorski form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 3.85 / Gasiorski 1.21
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Gasiorski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12425127
Orszulik3.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 31 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Gasiorski1.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite83% won 99 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it84% 62 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 225 vs 191 / 23746.2%80.6%104 / 225 vs 191 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.92.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.641.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
GasiorskiOrszulik 3.85/Gasiorski 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gasiorski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.83134991K. Juszczyk1.83111111113WAug 13 · 16:25J. Pelka1.8069120J. Orszulik1.911111143WAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 10 · 20:00M. Koczyba2.9589111172P. Gasiorski1.31111166113WSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113WSep 10 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.36129511113P. Zemla2.75101111772WSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100WSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191
Upcoming Matches
J. Orszulik
Sep 11 · 19:30J. Orszulik1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 11 · 20:45J. Orszulik1.86J. Badura1.80—Sep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—Sep 11 · 23:05J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 11 · 23:55J. Orszulik2.25R. Szymik1.52—Sep 12 · 01:30J. Orszulik1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 02:45J. Orszulik1.55R. Wiza2.20—Sep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.24A. Szurgot3.40—
P. Gasiorski
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