TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12426745
Played Aug 13Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119711311
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911119119711311
H2H Jan Orszulik 1–2 Piotr Gumulinski Jan Orszulik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1395 vs Gumulinski 1386
Orszulik
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 40% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 60% vs Gumulinski 40%
Orszulik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik -1 · Gumulinski +3
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 2.45 / Gumulinski 1.47
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Gumulinski)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #12426745
Orszulik2.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 31 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Gumulinski1.47
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 343 of 573
Up 2–0, closes it92% 153 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it75% 226 of 303
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOrszulik1wins
AwayGumulinski2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderGumulinski leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrszulik33.3%1 of 3
AwayGumulinskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orszulik3Gumulinski0n = 3Orszulik took 3 of 3
S2Orszulik3Gumulinski0n = 3Orszulik took 3 of 3
S3Orszulik0Gumulinski3n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
S4Orszulik1Gumulinski2n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOrszulikGumulinskiO − GBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.344.3−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 228 vs 1041 / 183446.1%56.8%105 / 228 vs 1041 / 1834Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiOrszulik 2.45/Gumulinski 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 4 · 07:00J. Orszulik—11115113P. Gumulinski—961161
LFeb 18 · 02:35J. Orszulik—11116452P. Gumulinski—981111113
LDec 5 · 01:00J. Orszulik—111191082P. Gumulinski—891112113
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 20:00J. Orszulik3.854760P. Gasiorski1.211111113WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.83134991K. Juszczyk1.83111111113WAug 13 · 16:25J. Pelka1.8069120J. Orszulik1.911111143WAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792LSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113
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