TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12423564
Played Aug 13Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111214––––
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111214––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 2–1 Jan Orszulik Jan Orszulik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1316 vs Orszulik 1395
Orszulik
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Orszulik 80%
Orszulik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 50% vs Orszulik 70%
Orszulik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -2 · Orszulik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.80 / Orszulik 1.91
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Orszulik)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12423564
Pelka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 98 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 66 of 103
Orszulik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 31 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwayOrszulik1wins
Pelka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka2Orszulik1n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
S2Pelka2Orszulik1n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
S3Pelka1Orszulik2n = 3Orszulik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPelkaOrszulikP − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.728.0+3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 934 vs 102 / 22247.1%46%440 / 934 vs 102 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikPelka 1.80/Orszulik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 17 · 04:00J. Pelka—1111113J. Orszulik—5590
LJul 16 · 22:00J. Pelka—8680J. Orszulik—1111113
WFeb 17 · 16:35J. Pelka—11117113J. Orszulik—841191
J. Pelka10
LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 20:00J. Orszulik3.854760P. Gasiorski1.211111113WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.83134991K. Juszczyk1.83111111113WAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Nothing scheduled
J. Orszulik
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