TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109524
Played Sep 11Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116119––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJerzy Pelka above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jerzy Pelka at 55.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jerzy Pelka 1–0 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1330 vs Sokolowski 1258
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 50% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -3 · Sokolowski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.67 / Sokolowski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pelka)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13109524
Pelka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 96 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 67 of 105
Sokolowski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePelka1wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPelkaSokolowskiP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.042.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 915 vs 111 / 33846.3%32.8%424 / 915 vs 111 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.67/Sokolowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 23 · 07:10J. Pelka—1081111113O. Sokolowski—12117752
J. Pelka10
LSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153LSep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.8311191172K. Jablonski1.81119116113LSep 10 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.0311911113J. Pelka1.65911881WSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113LSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 11 · 03:25M. Baron1.8311711113O. Sokolowski1.83811661LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Sep 11 · 05:40J. Pelka2.50O. Jadach1.50—Sep 11 · 06:30J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—Sep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.50O. Jadach1.50—Sep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.52O. Sokolowski2.26—Sep 11 · 11:50J. Pelka2.23Z. Sobkow1.54—Sep 11 · 12:40J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—
O. Sokolowski
Sep 11 · 06:05O. Sokolowski2.50Z. Sobkow1.50—Sep 11 · 07:20O. Sokolowski1.91P. Slosarczyk1.80—Sep 11 · 08:35O. Sokolowski2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 09:25O. Sokolowski1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 11 · 11:00O. Sokolowski2.26J. Pelka1.52—Sep 11 · 12:15O. Sokolowski2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 13:30O. Sokolowski1.91P. Slosarczyk1.80—Sep 11 · 14:40O. Sokolowski—Z. Sobkow——
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