TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107612
Played Sep 10Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111171214811911
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
13111171214811911
H2H Jerzy Pelka 14–25 Oskar Jadach Jerzy Pelka has won 14 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pelka beat Jadach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-25 in 39
Jadach
Correct
gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1356 vs Jadach 1438
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 80% vs Jadach 20%
Pelka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 50% vs Jadach 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka +3 · Jadach +1
Pelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (20%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.65 / Jadach 1.38
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13107612
Pelka2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Jadach1.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 318 of 476
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 217 of 255
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwayJadach8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka40%2 of 5
AwayJadach100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka5Jadach5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelka4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Pelka3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Pelka1Jadach4n = 5Jadach took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaJadachP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.334.1−2.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 913 vs 793 / 131546.4%60.3%424 / 913 vs 793 / 1315Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachPelka 2.65/Jadach 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka—1111113O. Jadach—7550
LAug 31 · 12:45J. Pelka—11116692O. Jadach—851111113
LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka—9850O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 21 · 13:10J. Pelka—9870O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 21 · 05:30J. Pelka—8450O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 20 · 16:40J. Pelka—112771O. Jadach—21111113
LAug 20 · 10:40J. Pelka—89111152O. Jadach—111184113
LAug 4 · 15:55J. Pelka—119691O. Jadach—81111113
WAug 4 · 09:55J. Pelka—1111113O. Jadach—4670
LJul 30 · 13:30J. Pelka—5111181O. Jadach—11613113
J. Pelka10
WSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123
O. Jadach10
LSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus1.8291111113O. Jadach1.88117951WSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113LSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550WSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292WSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441WSep 8 · 01:50O. Jadach1.53811611113G. Marud2.2411711282
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Sep 10 · 15:05J. Pelka1.65W. Glanowski2.03—Sep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.83K. Jablonski1.81—Sep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.67O. Sokolowski2.10—Sep 11 · 05:40J. Pelka2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 06:30J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—Sep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 12:40J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—
O. Jadach
Sep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.41K. Jablonski2.60—Sep 10 · 17:05O. Jadach1.80K. Hetnar1.86—Sep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.61P. Slosarczyk2.20—Sep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.57M. Baron2.25—Sep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.44J. Pelka2.63—Sep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73Z. Sobkow2.00—Sep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 09:50O. Jadach1.44J. Pelka2.63—Sep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57M. Baron2.25—
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