TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107994
Played Sep 10Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117119115––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911117119115––
H2H Kacper Adamus 20–25 Oskar Jadach Kacper Adamus has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Adamus beat Jadach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-25 in 45
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1422 vs Jadach 1447
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Jadach 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Jadach +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.82 / Jadach 1.88
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadach)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13107994
Adamus1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 367 of 599
Up 2–0, closes it98% 201 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it79% 292 of 369
Jadach1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 105 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back27% 35 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayJadach5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus62.5%5 of 8
AwayJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Jadach2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus5Jadach5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Adamus3Jadach4n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJadachA − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.535.0+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime935 / 1731 vs 794 / 131654%60.3%935 / 1731 vs 794 / 1316Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachAdamus 1.82/Jadach 1.88
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus—1111113O. Jadach—8790
LSep 8 · 05:05K. Adamus—713111292O. Jadach—1115410113
LSep 7 · 20:45K. Adamus—118961O. Jadach—71111113
WJun 17 · 15:30K. Adamus—1111113O. Jadach—6730
WJun 17 · 09:30K. Adamus—1111108143O. Jadach—961211122
LMay 30 · 15:55K. Adamus—119981O. Jadach—51111113
LMay 30 · 09:55K. Adamus—9790O. Jadach—1111113
WMay 27 · 11:30K. Adamus—111111123O. Jadach—3613101
LMay 27 · 07:10K. Adamus—115731O. Jadach—41111113
WMay 13 · 17:05K. Adamus—11113113O. Jadach—591141
K. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 13:10K. Adamus1.5013911113K. Jablonski2.311111761LSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050LSep 10 · 06:45K. Adamus1.52128111192W. Glanowski2.35141179113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111WSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123LSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113
O. Jadach10
WSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113LSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550WSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292WSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441WSep 8 · 01:50O. Jadach1.53811611113G. Marud2.2411711282
Upcoming Matches
K. Adamus
O. Jadach
Sep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.41K. Jablonski2.60—Sep 10 · 17:05O. Jadach1.80K. Hetnar1.86—Sep 11 · 03:00O. Jadach1.61P. Slosarczyk2.20—Sep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.53M. Baron2.38—Sep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.44J. Pelka2.63—Sep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73Z. Sobkow2.00—Sep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 09:50O. Jadach1.44J. Pelka2.63—Sep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Sep 11 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57M. Baron2.25—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.