TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102231
Played Sep 9Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012311115811––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:07 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
1012311115811––
H2H Witold Buczynski 19–40 Kacper Adamus Witold Buczynski has won 19 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Buczynski beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-40 in 59
Adamus
Correct
gap of 21 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1336 vs Adamus 1414
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 60% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 30% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +3 · Adamus +2
Buczynski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 2.60 / Adamus 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102231
Buczynski2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 193 of 523
Down 0–1, comes back21% 65 of 307
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 175
Adamus1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 589
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski4wins
AwayAdamus6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski50%2 of 4
AwayAdamus66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Buczynski3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S3Buczynski3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Buczynski5Adamus2n = 7Buczynski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiAdamusB − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.1−4.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 1130 vs 929 / 172138.7%54%437 / 1130 vs 929 / 1721Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusBuczynski 2.60/Adamus 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 11:05W. Buczynski—513611113K. Adamus—111111772
LJun 10 · 15:30W. Buczynski—11880K. Adamus—1311113
WJun 10 · 09:30W. Buczynski—81711123K. Adamus—11159101
WJun 9 · 15:30W. Buczynski—111112113K. Adamus—6131091
LJun 9 · 09:30W. Buczynski—6940K. Adamus—1111113
LMay 30 · 16:40W. Buczynski—3970K. Adamus—1111113
LMay 30 · 10:40W. Buczynski—11771292K. Adamus—9111110113
WMay 13 · 15:55W. Buczynski—11611113K. Adamus—911741
LMay 13 · 09:55W. Buczynski—11118101K. Adamus—13811123
LMay 12 · 15:55W. Buczynski—122881K. Adamus—101111113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113LSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981LSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491LSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950LSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882
K. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113WSep 9 · 11:55S. Juzek2.486660K. Adamus1.431111113LSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113WSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153
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