TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101859
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Juzek
Home
2.48
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611611––––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.43
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
611611611––––
H2H Sebastian Juzek 37–40 Kacper Adamus Sebastian Juzek has won 37 of their 77 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Adamus beat Juzek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (63%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-40 in 77
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juzek 1353 vs Adamus 1395
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juzek 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juzek 50% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juzek +2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juzek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuzek 2.48 / Adamus 1.43
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13101859
Juzek2.48
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 104 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 102
Adamus1.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 589
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuzek4wins
AwayAdamus6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuzek80%4 of 5
AwayAdamus100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juzek5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S2Juzek5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Juzek4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Juzek2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5Juzek1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuzekAdamusJ − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.0−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuzekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 751 vs 927 / 171941.2%53.9%309 / 751 vs 927 / 1719Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJuzek 2.48/Adamus 1.43
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:45S. Juzek—1110111572K. Adamus—712417113
WAug 26 · 15:05S. Juzek—1111113K. Adamus—8760
WAug 26 · 09:05S. Juzek—11211193K. Adamus—2117171
LAug 19 · 15:30S. Juzek—1110110K. Adamus—1312133
LAug 19 · 09:30S. Juzek—1012681K. Adamus—121011113
WAug 12 · 12:20S. Juzek—1111113K. Adamus—8880
LAug 12 · 08:20S. Juzek—76110K. Adamus—1111133
LAug 5 · 15:30S. Juzek—21161272K. Adamus—1191110113
LAug 5 · 09:30S. Juzek—6670K. Adamus—1111113
WJul 22 · 13:30S. Juzek—1111810113K. Adamus—89111252
S. Juzek10
LSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100WSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132WSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572WSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491WSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113LSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881LSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113
K. Adamus10
LSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113WSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153LSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133
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