TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101392
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Juzek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111171210––––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Juzek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
13111171210––––
H2H Sebastian Juzek 9–7 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Juzek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Juzek
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juzek 1337 vs Madej 1242
Juzek
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juzek 40% vs Madej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juzek 40% vs Madej 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juzek -2 · Madej -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Juzek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juzek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuzek 1.50 / Madej 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Juzek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13101392
Juzek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 69 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Madej2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuzek6wins
AwayMadej4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJuzek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuzekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMadej50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juzek2Madej8n = 10Madej took 8 of 10
S2Juzek5Madej5n = 10split evenly
S3Juzek8Madej2n = 10Juzek took 8 of 10
S4Juzek5Madej1n = 6Juzek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuzekMadejJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.8+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuzekMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 749 vs 140 / 38841%36.1%307 / 749 vs 140 / 388Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuzekJuzek 1.50/Madej 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Juzek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Juzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek—51112113B. Madej—1191081
LSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek—75120B. Madej—1111143
WAug 11 · 16:40S. Juzek—91111113B. Madej—115361
WAug 11 · 10:40S. Juzek—31311113B. Madej—1111771
LMar 3 · 18:05S. Juzek—891191B. Madej—11119113
LMar 3 · 09:45S. Juzek—781111102B. Madej—111199123
WDec 23 · 13:45S. Juzek—1114113B. Madej—51260
WDec 23 · 11:20S. Juzek—681211113B. Madej—111110962
LDec 2 · 16:30S. Juzek—7760B. Madej—1111113
WDec 2 · 10:30S. Juzek—1319113B. Madej—111780
S. Juzek10
LSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572WSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491WSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113LSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881LSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113WSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123LSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113WSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081
B. Madej10
LSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143
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